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Canadian Pacific Railway: CPKC's Resilient Performance Amidst Industry Developments

CPKC reported revenues of $3.7 billion, up 3% year-over-year, with a 110 basis point improvement in operating ratio to 60.7%, and earnings of $1.12, a 7% increase from the previous year. The company's ability to deliver strong financial results despite industry developments, including a proposed combination between UP and NS, underscores its resilience. According to CEO Keith Creel, CPKC's unique network, which connects the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, will continue to drive differentiated growth.

CP.TO

CAD 101.95

0.54%

A-Score: 5.1/10

Publication date: August 3, 2025

Author: Analystock.ai

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth Revenues increased by 3% to $3.7 billion, driven by a 7% rise in carloads (RTMs), with freight revenue up 3%.
  • Operating Ratio Improvement Operating ratio improved 110 basis points to 60.7%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and cost management.
  • Net Earnings Growth Diluted earnings per share rose 7% to $1.12, supported by strong volume growth and pricing strength.
  • Fuel Expense Reduction Fuel expenses decreased 12% to $405 million, benefiting from lower fuel prices and improved fuel efficiency.
  • Shareholder Returns The company repurchased 16.4 million shares and generated $605 million in adjusted free cash flow, demonstrating strong shareholder value creation.

Operational Highlights

The company achieved volume growth of 7% and highlights include the ramp-up of the Gemini partnership, 180/181 premium domestic intermodal service growth of 40%, and increased traffic flows between Canada and Mexico. System-wide dwell increased by 7% in the quarter, while FRA personal injuries improved by 8% year-over-year, and train accidents decreased. The company received the first 40 of the Tier 4 locomotives, supporting growth and improving reliability and fuel efficiency.

Revenue Performance

Revenue performance was driven by freight revenue growth of 3% on a 7% increase in RTMs, with pricing results remaining strong. Segment highlights include: bulk revenue up 11% on 13% volume growth in grain, and coal revenue up 8% on 5% volume growth. Intermodal revenue was up 8% on 18% volume growth, with international intermodal volumes up 28% and domestic intermodal volumes up 8%.

Financial Highlights

The company's reported operating ratio was 63.7%, and a core adjusted operating ratio of 60.7%, a 110 basis point improvement over the previous year. Diluted earnings per share was $1.33, and core adjusted diluted earnings per share was $1.12, up 7% versus the previous year. As CFO Nadeem Velani stated, the company generated $1.36 billion in cash provided by operating activities, up 6% year-over-year.

Valuation and Outlook

With a P/E Ratio of 25.03 and a P/S Ratio of 6.4, the company's valuation multiples suggest that some of its strong performance may be priced in. However, with a dividend yield of 0.77% and a free cash flow yield of 2.48%, CPKC still offers a relatively attractive income opportunity. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 6.6%, and the actual EPS came out at $1.13, relative to estimates at $1.15.

Canadian Pacific Railway's A-Score